This indicator has called every recession over the last 80 years. Here's what it's saying now.

The U.S. economy could be starting a vicious cycle if this indicator is right.

A Walmart-related recession indicator that's preceded the last 4 economic downturns is flashing red

The Walmart Recession Signal, a measure of Walmart's stock price relative to luxury stocks, has spiked leading up to the last four US downturns.

People Believe That These 75 Random Signs Show Our Economy Is Not Doing That Well

You don’t have to be a genius to realize that the world economy has been in a super weird place these past few years. In this ...

US Recession 2026: Wall Street and CEOs warn — top indicators you need to watch

US recession warning 2026: US recession fears are escalating as rising oil prices and global tensions, particularly the Middle East conflict, weigh on the economic outlook. Analysts now place ...

Is Australia at risk of a recession? Here’s what the data actually shows

Talk of a recession in Australia has picked up in recent weeks. Rising fuel prices, a sharp fall in consumer confidence, and ...

Recession Probability Sits At 40% To 50%—Here Is How To Size That Risk

Recessions are not predictable with precision. But they are priceable, and at 40% to 50% probability, the risk deserves ...
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7 Dividend ETFs Built to Survive a Recession and Pay You Through It

Recession probability indicators are flashing caution. The yield curve has spent extended periods inverted, the Conference ...

Moody's chief economist Mark Zandi on the risks of a recession

Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss recession indicators, economic ...